{"image_url":null,"blog_url":"https://himaginary.hatenablog.com/","author_url":"https://blog.hatena.ne.jp/himaginary/","author_name":"himaginary","html":"<iframe src=\"https://hatenablog-parts.com/embed?url=https%3A%2F%2Fhimaginary.hatenablog.com%2Fentry%2F20201105%2Fprobability_of_narrow_election_outcomes\" title=\"\u6cd5\u5ef7\u304c\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u3092\u9078\u3076\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3044\u304b\u307b\u3069\u304b\uff1f\u3000\u9078\u6319\u4eba\u5236\u5ea6\u304a\u3088\u3073\u56fd\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u3067\u50c5\u5dee\u306e\u9006\u8ee2\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306e\u3042\u308b\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u751f\u3058\u308b\u78ba\u7387 - himaginary\u2019s diary\" class=\"embed-card embed-blogcard\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"display: block; width: 100%; height: 190px; max-width: 500px; margin: 10px 0px;\"></iframe>","type":"rich","title":"\u6cd5\u5ef7\u304c\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u3092\u9078\u3076\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3044\u304b\u307b\u3069\u304b\uff1f\u3000\u9078\u6319\u4eba\u5236\u5ea6\u304a\u3088\u3073\u56fd\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u3067\u50c5\u5dee\u306e\u9006\u8ee2\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306e\u3042\u308b\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u751f\u3058\u308b\u78ba\u7387","version":"1.0","categories":["\u653f\u6cbb","\u7d4c\u6e08"],"published":"2020-11-05 23:59:00","provider_url":"https://hatena.blog","blog_title":"himaginary\u2019s diary","provider_name":"Hatena Blog","width":"100%","height":"190","url":"https://himaginary.hatenablog.com/entry/20201105/probability_of_narrow_election_outcomes","description":"\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30bf\u30a4\u30e0\u30ea\u30fc\u306a\u30c6\u30fc\u30de\u306eNBER\u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff08ungated\u7248\u306e\u3042\u308b\u8457\u8005\u306e\u4e00\u4eba\u306e\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\uff09\u3002\u539f\u984c\u306f\u300cHow Likely Is It that Courts Will Select the US President? The Probability of Narrow, Reversible Election Results in the Electoral College versus a National Popular Vote\u300d\u3067\u3001\u8457\u8005\u306fMichael Geruso\u3001Dean Spears\uff08\u3044\u305a\u308c\u3082\u30c6\u30ad\u30b5\u30b9\u5927\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u6821\uff09\u3002 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u306f\u305d\u306e\u8981\u65e8\u3002 Extremely narrow \u2026"}